Trentino 87-85 Varese, October 18, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Trentino beat Varese 87-85, and Trentino's shots were worth 92.5 points to Varese's 92.0.

Trentino 87-85 Varese, October 18, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Trentino	57	61	64.8	26/37	27.6	87	92.5
Varese	62	63	69.8	22/30	22.3	85	92.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.