Udine 66-74 Trentino, October 10, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Trentino beat Udine 74-66, and Trentino's shots were worth 80.3 points to Udine's 78.9.

Udine 66-74 Trentino, October 10, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Udine	64	55	64.3	11/19	14.6	66	78.9
Trentino	58	57	61.8	17/25	18.5	74	80.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.