Bologna 98-89 Roma, October 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Bologna beat Roma 98-89, and Bologna's shots were worth 89.6 points to Roma's 85.7.

Bologna 98-89 Roma, October 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Bologna667165.227/3224.49889.6
Roma636260.227/3425.58985.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.