Napoli 98-71 Udine, May 10, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. Napoli beat Udine 98-71, but Udine's shots were worth 91.6 points to Napoli's 89.9.

Napoli 98-71 Udine, May 10, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Napoli769079.48/1410.59889.9
Udine766278.99/1712.87191.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.