Bologna 95-81 Trieste, April 26, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Bologna beat Trieste 95-81, and Bologna's shots were worth 91.3 points to Trieste's 79.9.

Bologna 95-81 Trieste, April 26, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Bologna	64	73	68.2	22/30	23.0	95	91.3
Trieste	68	69	67.6	12/16	12.3	81	79.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.