Sassari 79-98 Venezia, April 19, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. Venezia beat Sassari 98-79, but Sassari's shots were worth 87.6 points to Venezia's 85.7.

Sassari 79-98 Venezia, April 19, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Sassari736575.114/1712.57987.6
Venezia668674.712/1411.09885.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.