Cremona 78-79 Brescia, March 15, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Brescia beat Cremona 79-78, and Brescia's shots were worth 88.4 points to Cremona's 84.9.

Cremona 78-79 Brescia, March 15, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Cremona646874.110/1410.97884.9
Brescia776979.410/119.17988.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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