Trieste 84-78 Trentino, March 14, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Trieste beat Trentino 84-78, and Trieste's shots were worth 80.6 points to Trentino's 79.5.

Trieste 84-78 Trentino, March 14, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Trieste	51	57	53.9	27/35	26.7	84	80.6
Trentino	70	68	71.8	10/10	7.7	78	79.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.