Napoli 71-90 Bologna, March 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Bologna beat Napoli 90-71, and Bologna's shots were worth 86.9 points to Napoli's 68.8.

Napoli 71-90 Bologna, March 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Napoli516257.49/1611.47168.8
Bologna728076.110/1410.79086.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.