Trentino 84-78 Varese, February 8, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Trentino beat Varese 84-78, and Trentino's shots were worth 84.2 points to Varese's 83.4.

Trentino 84-78 Varese, February 8, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Trentino	62	70	70.6	14/17	13.5	84	84.2
Varese	69	69	77.0	9/9	6.4	78	83.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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