Reggio Emilia 78-79 Cantù, January 25, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. Cantù beat Reggio Emilia 79-78, but Reggio Emilia's shots were worth 81.8 points to Cantù's 77.2.

Reggio Emilia 78-79 Cantù, January 25, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Reggio Emilia636468.514/1913.37881.8
Cantù556056.719/2720.67977.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.