Milano 74-84 Varese, January 26, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. Varese beat Milano 84-74, but Milano's shots were worth 78.6 points to Varese's 75.0.

Milano 74-84 Varese, January 26, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Milano	60	58	65.0	16/17	13.5	74	78.6
Varese	56	69	61.6	15/18	13.5	84	75.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

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