Trentino 85-94 Cremona, January 17, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Cremona beat Trentino 94-85, and Cremona's shots were worth 97.6 points to Trentino's 93.5.

Trentino 85-94 Cremona, January 17, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Trentino697077.715/2015.88593.5
Cremona707577.319/2720.39497.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.