Udine 82-75 Cremona, January 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. Udine beat Cremona 82-75, but Cremona's shots were worth 91.2 points to Udine's 85.7.

Udine 82-75 Cremona, January 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Udine	68	71	75.2	11/14	10.4	82	85.7
Cremona	66	55	73.1	20/24	18.1	75	91.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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