Napoli 71-77 Milano, January 12, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Milano beat Napoli 77-71, and Milano's shots were worth 87.5 points to Napoli's 74.8.

Napoli 71-77 Milano, January 12, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Napoli606262.89/1712.07174.8
Milano645867.919/2419.67787.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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