Treviso 86-83 Varese, January 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Treviso beat Varese 86-83, and Treviso's shots were worth 87.4 points to Varese's 81.7.

Treviso 86-83 Varese, January 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Treviso635958.927/3728.58687.4
Varese697164.112/2317.68381.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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