Varese 84-80 Napoli, January 3, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Varese beat Napoli 84-80, and Varese's shots were worth 88.2 points to Napoli's 78.9.

Varese 84-80 Napoli, January 3, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Varese	74	71	74.3	13/19	13.9	84	88.2
Napoli	65	67	65.5	13/18	13.4	80	78.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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