Venezia 87-66 Treviso, January 5, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Venezia beat Treviso 87-66, and Venezia's shots were worth 90.3 points to Treviso's 73.2.

Venezia 87-66 Treviso, January 5, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Venezia	70	78	77.9	9/16	12.3	87	90.3
Treviso	55	54	60.4	12/17	12.8	66	73.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.