Venezia 106-96 Napoli, December 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Venezia beat Napoli 106-96, but Napoli's shots were worth 91.6 points to Venezia's 91.3.

Venezia 106-96 Napoli, December 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Venezia588168.325/3023.010691.3
Napoli698077.016/1914.69691.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.