Bologna 86-76 Brescia, December 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Bologna beat Brescia 86-76, but Brescia's shots were worth 76.9 points to Bologna's 74.2.

Bologna 86-76 Brescia, December 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Bologna627362.113/1612.18674.2
Brescia635760.319/2016.67676.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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