Treviso 86-81 Cantù, December 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Treviso beat Cantù 86-81, and Treviso's shots were worth 87.2 points to Cantù's 85.9.

Treviso 86-81 Cantù, December 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Treviso	62	66	65.8	20/28	21.4	86	87.2
Cantù	62	68	70.8	13/20	15.1	81	85.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.