Trentino 96-90 Venezia, December 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Trentino beat Venezia 96-90, and Trentino's shots were worth 98.7 points to Venezia's 96.4.

Trentino 96-90 Venezia, December 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Trentino697272.524/3326.29698.7
Venezia697279.618/2216.79096.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.