Udine 78-71 Napoli, December 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Udine beat Napoli 78-71, and Udine's shots were worth 94.1 points to Napoli's 76.9.

Udine 78-71 Napoli, December 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Udine	69	56	73.3	22/27	20.8	78	94.1
Napoli	65	62	66.6	9/14	10.2	71	76.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.