Brescia 83-72 Cremona, November 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Brescia beat Cremona 83-72, and Brescia's shots were worth 84.0 points to Cremona's 78.1.

Brescia 83-72 Cremona, November 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Brescia656465.419/2418.68384.0
Cremona706672.96/75.27278.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.