Varese 91-82 Cantù, November 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Varese beat Cantù 91-82, and Varese's shots were worth 87.2 points to Cantù's 85.8.

Varese 91-82 Cantù, November 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Varese	70	75	71.3	16/21	15.9	91	87.2
Cantù	69	58	65.1	24/28	20.7	82	85.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.