Reggio Emilia 79-89 Venezia, November 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Neither side had the better shots. Venezia beat Reggio Emilia 89-79, and the shots on each side were worth 76.4.

Reggio Emilia 79-89 Venezia, November 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Reggio Emilia586259.217/2417.27976.4
Venezia617260.417/2116.08976.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.