Napoli 72-85 Brescia, November 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Brescia beat Napoli 85-72, and Brescia's shots were worth 81.0 points to Napoli's 78.3.

Napoli 72-85 Brescia, November 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Napoli	61	60	66.8	12/16	11.5	72	78.3
Brescia	61	71	66.2	14/18	14.8	85	81.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.