Varese 77-83 Bologna, November 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Bologna beat Varese 83-77, and Bologna's shots were worth 90.0 points to Varese's 82.6.

Varese 77-83 Bologna, November 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Varese	69	69	74.7	8/10	7.8	77	82.6
Bologna	64	65	72.9	18/22	17.1	83	90.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

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