Brescia 98-92 Milano, November 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Brescia beat Milano 98-92, and Brescia's shots were worth 86.4 points to Milano's 77.0.

Brescia 98-92 Milano, November 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Brescia	60	74	64.4	24/27	22.0	98	86.4
Milano	61	80	63.3	12/18	13.7	92	77.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.