Cantù 91-83 Cremona, November 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Cantù beat Cremona 91-83, and Cantù's shots were worth 95.7 points to Cremona's 88.7.

Cantù 91-83 Cremona, November 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Cantù646672.925/3222.89195.7
Cremona716572.318/2216.48388.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.