Bologna 69-86 Cremona, October 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Cremona beat Bologna 86-69, but Bologna's shots were worth 73.7 points to Cremona's 71.7.

Bologna 69-86 Cremona, October 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Bologna	56	57	61.0	12/17	12.7	69	73.7
Cremona	57	75	59.6	11/16	12.2	86	71.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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