Varese 61-94 Milano, October 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Milano beat Varese 94-61, and Milano's shots were worth 88.7 points to Varese's 87.1.

Varese 61-94 Milano, October 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Varese	63	50	73.8	11/17	13.2	61	87.1
Milano	62	81	74.6	13/18	14.2	94	88.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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