Tortona 107-95 Treviso, October 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Tortona beat Treviso 107-95, and Tortona's shots were worth 88.7 points to Treviso's 88.3.

Tortona 107-95 Treviso, October 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Tortona668466.823/2821.910788.7
Treviso677267.523/2720.89588.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.