Bologna 101-96 Trapani, May 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Bologna beat Trapani 101-96, but Trapani's shots were worth 107.1 points to Bologna's 102.2.

Bologna 101-96 Trapani, May 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Bologna737880.123/2922.1101102.2
Trapani767283.724/3123.496107.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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