Pistoia 65-89 Cremona, May 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Cremona beat Pistoia 89-65, and Cremona's shots were worth 94.7 points to Pistoia's 87.8.

Pistoia 65-89 Cremona, May 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Pistoia	66	49	71.9	16/22	15.9	65	87.8
Cremona	71	80	84.8	9/13	9.9	89	94.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.