Venezia 90-93 Pistoia, April 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Pistoia beat Venezia 93-90, but Venezia's shots were worth 100.7 points to Pistoia's 90.7.

Venezia 90-93 Pistoia, April 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Venezia727582.515/2418.190100.7
Pistoia657573.318/2417.49390.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.