Pistoia 62-86 Bologna, April 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Bologna beat Pistoia 86-62, and Bologna's shots were worth 85.1 points to Pistoia's 73.7.

Pistoia 62-86 Bologna, April 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Pistoia605464.88/128.96273.7
Bologna626869.518/2015.58685.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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