Varese 89-84 Sassari, April 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Varese beat Sassari 89-84, but Sassari's shots were worth 76.1 points to Varese's 70.5.

Varese 89-84 Sassari, April 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Varese598164.18/86.38970.5
Sassari586860.116/2016.08476.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.