Napoli 87-97 Varese, April 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Varese beat Napoli 97-87, and Varese's shots were worth 87.7 points to Napoli's 81.2.

Napoli 87-97 Varese, April 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Napoli607266.615/2014.68781.2
Varese627668.021/2419.69787.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.