Trieste 85-78 Bologna, March 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Trieste beat Bologna 85-78, but Bologna's shots were worth 85.3 points to Trieste's 84.0.

Trieste 85-78 Bologna, March 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Trieste	67	73	69.6	12/19	14.4	85	84.0
Bologna	71	72	77.8	6/10	7.5	78	85.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.