Treviso 70-76 Sassari, March 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Sassari beat Treviso 76-70, but Treviso's shots were worth 82.7 points to Sassari's 82.4.

Treviso 70-76 Sassari, March 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Treviso615466.216/2216.57082.7
Sassari606167.315/1915.27682.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.