Brescia 73-79 Milano, March 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Milano beat Brescia 79-73, and Milano's shots were worth 78.3 points to Brescia's 75.3.

Brescia 73-79 Milano, March 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Brescia	63	56	60.5	17/19	14.8	73	75.3
Milano	58	64	63.0	15/19	15.3	79	78.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.