Cremona 94-85 Napoli, March 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Cremona beat Napoli 94-85, and Cremona's shots were worth 86.8 points to Napoli's 82.3.

Cremona 94-85 Napoli, March 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Cremona	59	78	68.3	16/24	18.5	94	86.8
Napoli	64	73	71.6	12/16	10.8	85	82.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.