Bologna 86-80 Milano, March 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Bologna beat Milano 86-80, but Milano's shots were worth 85.2 points to Bologna's 77.1.

Bologna 86-80 Milano, March 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Bologna	60	71	60.5	15/22	16.6	86	77.1
Milano	61	53	60.7	27/30	24.6	80	85.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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