Napoli 90-85 Brescia, February 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Napoli beat Brescia 90-85, but Brescia's shots were worth 86.2 points to Napoli's 81.2.

Napoli 90-85 Brescia, February 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Napoli	66	83	70.0	7/16	11.2	90	81.2
Brescia	69	69	72.6	16/17	13.6	85	86.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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