Cremona 88-85 Scafati, January 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Cremona beat Scafati 88-85, but Scafati's shots were worth 99.3 points to Cremona's 91.6.

Cremona 88-85 Scafati, January 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Cremona	67	70	73.7	18/23	17.9	88	91.6
Scafati	74	62	78.1	23/27	21.2	85	99.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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