Bologna 81-63 Cremona, January 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Bologna beat Cremona 81-63, and Bologna's shots were worth 82.4 points to Cremona's 75.6.

Bologna 81-63 Cremona, January 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Bologna606365.418/2217.08182.4
Cremona635566.58/129.16375.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.