Varese 92-89 Treviso, January 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Varese beat Treviso 92-89, but Treviso's shots were worth 93.6 points to Varese's 89.6.

Varese 92-89 Treviso, January 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Varese	63	73	68.6	19/27	21.0	92	89.6
Treviso	78	74	77.8	15/22	15.8	89	93.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.