Varese 89-86 Napoli, December 28, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Varese beat Napoli 89-86, but Napoli's shots were worth 90.3 points to Varese's 80.0.

Varese 89-86 Napoli, December 28, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Varese	67	73	63.9	16/20	16.0	89	80.0
Napoli	78	71	73.0	15/23	17.3	86	90.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.