Bologna 70-78 Trieste, December 15, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Trieste beat Bologna 78-70, but Bologna's shots were worth 79.6 points to Trieste's 78.1.

Bologna 70-78 Trieste, December 15, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Bologna	57	58	65.0	12/19	14.6	70	79.6
Trieste	61	65	63.4	13/20	14.8	78	78.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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